LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Source: datasn · 16,751 draws (max inner_id=16754) · Last: 2026-04-30 23:00:00 · Reference: 16754 (procesate) · 🎯 Live Prospective Validation →

⚠️ Niciun model nu bate statistic random pe acest dataset

Walk-forward validation pe 1000 extrageri + paired bootstrap (n=2000) confirmă că nicio strategie (HOT, DOW Aware, Anti-Corr, Smart, Mean Rev) NU are advantaj robust peste hazard — toate p-values > 0.14, CI 95% conține zero. Diferențele observate (+0.1 — +0.3 pp) sunt în limita de fluctuație random.

Ce înseamnă pentru tine: Folosește acest sistem ca instrument descriptiv (vezi cele mai frecvente, overdue, bursty, pattern-uri DOW), NU ca instrument de predicție garantată. Loto polonez Multi este matematic indistingabil de un proces aleator când evaluăm capacitatea de a prezice top-30 combinații.

Ce e adevărat: Anti-corelațiile la nivel de pereche (ex: {1,9} cu chi²=30) există ca fenomen statistic, dar nu se traduc în advantaj predictiv exploatabil la nivel de selecție top-N.

🧪 Detalii rezultate riguros statistice (walk-forward + paired bootstrap) (click pentru tabel complet)

Test SYSTEM 2 (perechi) — walk-forward pe 1000 extrageri, baseline random=5.92%:

Strategie	Δ vs rand	CI 95% (pp)	p-boot	Robust?
dow_aware	+0.31 pp	[-0.12, +0.72]	0.144	✗ nu robust
hot	+0.25 pp	[-0.13, +0.62]	0.239	✗ nu robust
smart	+0.16 pp	[-0.19, +0.53]	0.376	✗ nu robust
anti_corr	+0.11 pp	[-0.31, +0.55]	0.581	✗ nu robust

Interpretare statistică: Pentru ✓ ROBUST trebuie: CI 95% inferior > 0 ȘI p_bootstrap < 0.05. Niciun rezultat nu trece.

De ce a părut anterior că HOT bate random cu +0.95 pp? Multiple testing bias (am testat 8+ strategii — era inevitabil ca una să "câștige" prin hazard) + single split bias (un seed nefavorabil pentru random) + selection bias (am ales strategiile post-hoc). Walk-forward + paired bootstrap eliminat aceste bias-uri.

📊 Backtest inițial (cu bias-uri) — pentru transparență (click)

⚠️ Aceste rezultate au fost contaminat de bias-uri statistice — paired walk-forward de mai sus arată că nu se reproduc. Păstrate pentru transparență istorică.

Strategie	Sys 1	Sys 2	Sys 3	Câștigător la
🏆 HOT	+0.21 pp	+0.95 pp	-0.15 pp	Sys 2
🧠 Smart (pure confidence)	+0.57 pp	+0.76 pp	-0.01 pp	Sys 1
⚖️ Mean Reversion	-0.07 pp	+0.72 pp	+0.11 pp	Sys 3
📍 Recent Active	+0.56 pp	+0.31 pp	-0.17 pp	top 2 Sys 1
⭐ FEATURES NOI (doar sys 1):
🔗 Anti-Corr (corelații chi²)	+0.47 pp	+0.76 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
🗓️ DOW Aware (zi × ora)	+0.41 pp	+0.83 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
Random baseline	24.73%	5.45%	1.45%
🚫 Predict (vechi)	+0.01 pp	+0.23 pp	-0.13 pp	— nu folosi
Anti-predict	+0.07 pp	-0.07 pp	-0.49 pp	— sub random

📌 Recomandare per sistem: Sys 1 → 🧠 Smart | Sys 2 → 🏆 HOT | Sys 3 → ⚖️ Mean Rev (modurile se selectează automat când schimbi sistemul)

⚠️ Disclaimer onest: Improvement-urile sunt mici în absolut (sub 1 pp). Nu garantează câștig — ridică doar probabilitatea cu ~17% relativ peste hazard pe sys 2. Loto rămâne fundamental aleator. Sistemul ajută la informare, nu la siguranță.

SYS 1/1

16,754

80 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 2/2

16,754

3,160 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 3/3

16,754

82,173 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 4/4

16,754

1,470,317 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 5/5

6,000

24,305,081 combos · 35.8% of 16,754

Sistem: 1/1 2/2 3/3 4/4 5/5 ⓘ Mod auto-selectat: 🧠 Smart

Top combinații — sistem 3/3 · mod smart

Min hits filter: 3 · afișate: 30

#	Combinație	Hits	Mean±std	CV	P95	Gap	Overdue σ	chi² p	BT acc	Conf	Type	Pred
1	{41, 69, 79}	208	80.4±63.8	0.79	196.5	7	-1.2	0	52%	61	random	[16764..16891]
2	{30, 48, 76}	259	64.5±51.5	0.8	163.1	45	-0.4	0	48%	60	random	[16755..16825]
3	{8, 16, 59}	227	73.2±54.2	0.74	178	97	0.4	0.003	48%	60	random	[16755..16784]
4	{9, 18, 43}	235	70.8±62.4	0.88	191.5	80	0.1	0	51%	60	random	[16755..16807]
5	{1, 8, 68}	202	82.5±64.3	0.78	201	90	0.1	0	43%	59	random	[16755..16811]
6	{30, 34, 78}	239	69.3±57.5	0.83	183.3	204	2.3	0.001	46%	59	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
7	{9, 12, 21}	191	87.6±74.7	0.85	216	102	0.2	0.001	45%	59	random	[16755..16814]
8	{1, 6, 13}	268	62.5±49.1	0.78	152.4	21	-0.8	0.001	40%	59	random	[16755..16845]
9	{19, 45, 54}	215	78.2±65.5	0.84	212.6	6	-1.1	0.002	41%	58	random	[16761..16892]
10	{37, 43, 59}	246	68.1±61	0.9	169.8	31	-0.6	0.002	44%	58	random	[16755..16852]
11	{61, 63, 73}	215	78±65	0.83	192.4	2	-1.2	0.002	40%	58	random	[16765..16895]
12	{12, 31, 66}	222	74.5±62.1	0.83	182	50	-0.4	0.001	40%	58	random	[16755..16841]
13	{12, 21, 77}	230	72.6±63.9	0.88	201.8	28	-0.7	0	44%	58	random	[16755..16862]
14	{57, 64, 79}	230	73±59.5	0.81	196.2	17	-0.9	0.002	39%	58	random	[16755..16869]
15	{26, 53, 75}	252	66.4±55.8	0.84	169	85	0.3	0	40%	58	random	[16755..16791]
16	{4, 15, 55}	220	75.7±64.4	0.85	177.6	69	-0.1	0.002	41%	58	random	[16755..16825]
17	{2, 56, 79}	226	73.7±66	0.9	200.2	43	-0.5	0	44%	58	random	[16755..16851]
18	{11, 41, 52}	221	74.8±64.3	0.86	217.8	19	-0.9	0.002	42%	58	random	[16755..16874]
19	{25, 33, 57}	214	78±62.1	0.8	194	21	-0.9	0	36%	58	random	[16755..16873]
20	{13, 35, 49}	236	71.2±60.7	0.85	181.2	9	-1	0.002	40%	58	random	[16756..16877]
21	{22, 24, 47}	225	73.8±69.3	0.94	204.1	199	1.8	0.002	44%	58	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
22	{12, 57, 66}	224	74.9±60.3	0.8	186.2	29	-0.8	0.001	36%	58	random	[16755..16860]
23	{27, 37, 50}	227	73±62.6	0.86	195.8	19	-0.9	0.001	40%	58	random	[16755..16871]
24	{21, 27, 67}	211	78.8±67.9	0.86	221.4	146	1	0.003	41%	58	random	[16755..16755]
25	{21, 22, 45}	237	70.8±61.5	0.87	208	31	-0.6	0.002	40%	58	random	[16755..16855]
26	{25, 56, 79}	227	73.8±72.5	0.98	225.8	47	-0.4	0	48%	58	random	[16755..16853]
27	{46, 54, 76}	223	75.1±64.7	0.86	190.4	34	-0.6	0.001	39%	58	random	[16755..16860]
28	{19, 72, 74}	257	65.3±59.7	0.91	188	4	-1	0.002	44%	58	random	[16756..16875]
29	{17, 61, 62}	221	75.9±63.2	0.83	200.3	5	-1.1	0.002	38%	58	random	[16762..16888]
30	{17, 46, 49}	235	71.4±60.6	0.85	176	0	-1.2	0.001	39%	58	random	[16765..16886]

Combinație

Hits

Mean±std

P95

Gap

Overdue σ

chi² p

BT acc

Conf

Type

Pred

{41, 69, 79}

208

80.4±63.8

0.79

196.5

-1.2

52%

random

[16764..16891]

{30, 48, 76}

259

64.5±51.5

0.8

163.1

-0.4

48%

random

[16755..16825]

{8, 16, 59}

227

73.2±54.2

0.74

178

0.4

0.003

48%

random

[16755..16784]

{9, 18, 43}

235

70.8±62.4

0.88

191.5

0.1

51%

random

[16755..16807]

{1, 8, 68}

202

82.5±64.3

0.78

201

0.1

43%

random

[16755..16811]

{30, 34, 78}

239

69.3±57.5

0.83

183.3

204

2.3

0.001

46%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{9, 12, 21}

191

87.6±74.7

0.85

216

102

0.2

0.001

45%

random

[16755..16814]

{1, 6, 13}

268

62.5±49.1

0.78

152.4

-0.8

0.001

40%

random

[16755..16845]

{19, 45, 54}

215

78.2±65.5

0.84

212.6

-1.1

0.002

41%

random

[16761..16892]

{37, 43, 59}

246

68.1±61

0.9

169.8

-0.6

0.002

44%

random

[16755..16852]

{61, 63, 73}

215

78±65

0.83

192.4

-1.2

0.002

40%

random

[16765..16895]

{12, 31, 66}

222

74.5±62.1

0.83

182

-0.4

0.001

40%

random

[16755..16841]

{12, 21, 77}

230

72.6±63.9

0.88

201.8

-0.7

44%

random

[16755..16862]

{57, 64, 79}

230

73±59.5

0.81

196.2

-0.9

0.002

39%

random

[16755..16869]

{26, 53, 75}

252

66.4±55.8

0.84

169

0.3

40%

random

[16755..16791]

{4, 15, 55}

220

75.7±64.4

0.85

177.6

-0.1

0.002

41%

random

[16755..16825]

{2, 56, 79}

226

73.7±66

0.9

200.2

-0.5

44%

random

[16755..16851]

{11, 41, 52}

221

74.8±64.3

0.86

217.8

-0.9

0.002

42%

random

[16755..16874]

{25, 33, 57}

214

78±62.1

0.8

194

-0.9

36%

random

[16755..16873]

{13, 35, 49}

236

71.2±60.7

0.85

181.2

-1

0.002

40%

random

[16756..16877]

{22, 24, 47}

225

73.8±69.3

0.94

204.1

199

1.8

0.002

44%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{12, 57, 66}

224

74.9±60.3

0.8

186.2

-0.8

0.001

36%

random

[16755..16860]

{27, 37, 50}

227

73±62.6

0.86

195.8

-0.9

0.001

40%

random

[16755..16871]

{21, 27, 67}

211

78.8±67.9

0.86

221.4

146

0.003

41%

random

[16755..16755]

{21, 22, 45}

237

70.8±61.5

0.87

208

-0.6

0.002

40%

random

[16755..16855]

{25, 56, 79}

227

73.8±72.5

0.98

225.8

-0.4

48%

random

[16755..16853]

{46, 54, 76}

223

75.1±64.7

0.86

190.4

-0.6

0.001

39%

random

[16755..16860]

{19, 72, 74}

257

65.3±59.7

0.91

188

-1

0.002

44%

random

[16756..16875]

{17, 61, 62}

221

75.9±63.2

0.83

200.3

-1.1

0.002

38%

random

[16762..16888]

{17, 46, 49}

235

71.4±60.6

0.85

176

-1.2

0.001

39%

random

[16765..16886]

Click pe combinație pentru detalii complete: percentile, streaks, chi², backtest, predicție și timeline grafic.
Reference draw_id pentru calculul current_gap: 16754.

LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Top combinații — sistem 3/3 · mod smart