LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Source: datasn · 16,751 draws (max inner_id=16754) · Last: 2026-04-30 23:00:00 · Reference: 16754 (procesate) · 🎯 Live Prospective Validation →

⚠️ Niciun model nu bate statistic random pe acest dataset

Walk-forward validation pe 1000 extrageri + paired bootstrap (n=2000) confirmă că nicio strategie (HOT, DOW Aware, Anti-Corr, Smart, Mean Rev) NU are advantaj robust peste hazard — toate p-values > 0.14, CI 95% conține zero. Diferențele observate (+0.1 — +0.3 pp) sunt în limita de fluctuație random.

Ce înseamnă pentru tine: Folosește acest sistem ca instrument descriptiv (vezi cele mai frecvente, overdue, bursty, pattern-uri DOW), NU ca instrument de predicție garantată. Loto polonez Multi este matematic indistingabil de un proces aleator când evaluăm capacitatea de a prezice top-30 combinații.

Ce e adevărat: Anti-corelațiile la nivel de pereche (ex: {1,9} cu chi²=30) există ca fenomen statistic, dar nu se traduc în advantaj predictiv exploatabil la nivel de selecție top-N.

🧪 Detalii rezultate riguros statistice (walk-forward + paired bootstrap) (click pentru tabel complet)

Test SYSTEM 2 (perechi) — walk-forward pe 1000 extrageri, baseline random=5.92%:

Strategie	Δ vs rand	CI 95% (pp)	p-boot	Robust?
dow_aware	+0.31 pp	[-0.12, +0.72]	0.144	✗ nu robust
hot	+0.25 pp	[-0.13, +0.62]	0.239	✗ nu robust
smart	+0.16 pp	[-0.19, +0.53]	0.376	✗ nu robust
anti_corr	+0.11 pp	[-0.31, +0.55]	0.581	✗ nu robust

Interpretare statistică: Pentru ✓ ROBUST trebuie: CI 95% inferior > 0 ȘI p_bootstrap < 0.05. Niciun rezultat nu trece.

De ce a părut anterior că HOT bate random cu +0.95 pp? Multiple testing bias (am testat 8+ strategii — era inevitabil ca una să "câștige" prin hazard) + single split bias (un seed nefavorabil pentru random) + selection bias (am ales strategiile post-hoc). Walk-forward + paired bootstrap eliminat aceste bias-uri.

📊 Backtest inițial (cu bias-uri) — pentru transparență (click)

⚠️ Aceste rezultate au fost contaminat de bias-uri statistice — paired walk-forward de mai sus arată că nu se reproduc. Păstrate pentru transparență istorică.

Strategie	Sys 1	Sys 2	Sys 3	Câștigător la
🏆 HOT	+0.21 pp	+0.95 pp	-0.15 pp	Sys 2
🧠 Smart (pure confidence)	+0.57 pp	+0.76 pp	-0.01 pp	Sys 1
⚖️ Mean Reversion	-0.07 pp	+0.72 pp	+0.11 pp	Sys 3
📍 Recent Active	+0.56 pp	+0.31 pp	-0.17 pp	top 2 Sys 1
⭐ FEATURES NOI (doar sys 1):
🔗 Anti-Corr (corelații chi²)	+0.47 pp	+0.76 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
🗓️ DOW Aware (zi × ora)	+0.41 pp	+0.83 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
Random baseline	24.73%	5.45%	1.45%
🚫 Predict (vechi)	+0.01 pp	+0.23 pp	-0.13 pp	— nu folosi
Anti-predict	+0.07 pp	-0.07 pp	-0.49 pp	— sub random

📌 Recomandare per sistem: Sys 1 → 🧠 Smart | Sys 2 → 🏆 HOT | Sys 3 → ⚖️ Mean Rev (modurile se selectează automat când schimbi sistemul)

⚠️ Disclaimer onest: Improvement-urile sunt mici în absolut (sub 1 pp). Nu garantează câștig — ridică doar probabilitatea cu ~17% relativ peste hazard pe sys 2. Loto rămâne fundamental aleator. Sistemul ajută la informare, nu la siguranță.

SYS 1/1

16,754

80 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 2/2

16,754

3,160 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 3/3

16,754

82,173 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 4/4

16,754

1,470,317 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 5/5

5,990

24,303,722 combos · 35.8% of 16,754

Sistem: 1/1 2/2 3/3 4/4 5/5 ⓘ Mod auto-selectat: 🧠 Smart

Top combinații — sistem 2/2 · mod smart

Min hits filter: 5 · afișate: 30

#	Combinație	Hits	Mean±std	CV	P95	Gap	Overdue σ	chi² p	BT acc	Conf	Type	Pred
1	{30, 76}	1064	15.7±14	0.89	44.9	15	-0.1	0.001	42%	57	random	[16755..16769]
2	{10, 78}	1075	15.6±14.9	0.96	46	17	0.1	0	41%	56	random	[16755..16768]
3	{12, 66}	991	16.9±14.6	0.86	45.6	29	0.8	0	35%	56	random	[16755..16756]
4	{56, 68}	982	17±16	0.94	46	0	-1.1	0	39%	56	random	[16755..16787]
5	{23, 36}	994	16.8±15.1	0.9	45.4	8	-0.6	0	36%	56	random	[16755..16778]
6	{51, 53}	984	17±15.4	0.9	46	18	0.1	0	36%	56	random	[16755..16768]
7	{30, 31}	1050	15.9±15	0.94	45	22	0.4	0.001	39%	56	random	[16755..16763]
8	{26, 71}	971	17.2±16.5	0.96	50	32	0.9	0.001	38%	56	random	[16755..16756]
9	{37, 75}	1054	15.9±14.3	0.9	44	11	-0.3	0.001	35%	56	random	[16755..16773]
10	{2, 12}	953	17.5±16.5	0.94	52	50	2	0.001	37%	56	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
11	{7, 54}	943	17.8±16	0.9	49	16	-0.1	0.001	33%	55	random	[16755..16772]
12	{26, 35}	1059	15.8±14.7	0.93	44	32	1.1	0	34%	55	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
13	{5, 35}	1051	15.9±15.1	0.95	46.6	1	-1	0	35%	55	random	[16755..16784]
14	{2, 30}	954	17.5±15.6	0.89	47.4	44	1.7	0.002	31%	55	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
15	{1, 6}	975	17.1±15.5	0.91	46.4	21	0.2	0	32%	55	random	[16755..16766]
16	{23, 42}	954	17.6±15.9	0.91	50	16	-0.1	0	32%	55	random	[16755..16771]
17	{49, 55}	992	16.8±15.3	0.91	46	17	0	0.002	32%	55	random	[16755..16769]
18	{3, 39}	995	16.7±16.1	0.96	48	88	4.4	0.002	35%	55	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
19	{16, 38}	984	17±16.4	0.97	50	15	-0.1	0.001	35%	55	random	[16755..16772]
20	{20, 63}	1060	15.8±14.6	0.93	42	13	-0.2	0.001	32%	55	random	[16755..16771]
21	{3, 55}	954	17.5±17.3	0.99	53.4	10	-0.4	0.002	37%	55	random	[16755..16779]
22	{42, 53}	1049	15.9±15.2	0.95	49	18	0.1	0	33%	55	random	[16755..16767]
23	{60, 64}	1019	16.4±15.1	0.92	44	1	-1	0	31%	55	random	[16755..16785]
24	{42, 51}	984	17±15.8	0.93	50	15	-0.1	0	32%	55	random	[16755..16772]
25	{36, 41}	1021	16.4±14.6	0.89	46	15	-0.1	0.002	30%	55	random	[16755..16770]
26	{13, 36}	1055	15.9±15.6	0.98	47.4	2	-0.9	0	35%	55	random	[16755..16783]
27	{53, 73}	1004	16.7±16.1	0.97	46	7	-0.6	0	33%	55	random	[16755..16780]
28	{19, 72}	1052	15.9±14.9	0.94	45.5	4	-0.8	0.002	31%	55	random	[16755..16781]
29	{3, 24}	974	17.2±15.8	0.92	48	10	-0.5	0.001	30%	55	random	[16755..16777]
30	{1, 71}	941	17.8±16.2	0.91	52	32	0.9	0.003	32%	55	random	[16755..16756]

Combinație

Hits

Mean±std

P95

Gap

Overdue σ

chi² p

BT acc

Conf

Type

Pred

{30, 76}

1064

15.7±14

0.89

44.9

-0.1

0.001

42%

random

[16755..16769]

{10, 78}

1075

15.6±14.9

0.96

0.1

41%

random

[16755..16768]

{12, 66}

991

16.9±14.6

0.86

45.6

0.8

35%

random

[16755..16756]

{56, 68}

982

17±16

0.94

-1.1

39%

random

[16755..16787]

{23, 36}

994

16.8±15.1

0.9

45.4

-0.6

36%

random

[16755..16778]

{51, 53}

984

17±15.4

0.9

0.1

36%

random

[16755..16768]

{30, 31}

1050

15.9±15

0.94

0.4

0.001

39%

random

[16755..16763]

{26, 71}

971

17.2±16.5

0.96

0.9

0.001

38%

random

[16755..16756]

{37, 75}

1054

15.9±14.3

0.9

-0.3

0.001

35%

random

[16755..16773]

{2, 12}

953

17.5±16.5

0.94

0.001

37%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{7, 54}

943

17.8±16

0.9

-0.1

0.001

33%

random

[16755..16772]

{26, 35}

1059

15.8±14.7

0.93

1.1

34%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{5, 35}

1051

15.9±15.1

0.95

46.6

-1

35%

random

[16755..16784]

{2, 30}

954

17.5±15.6

0.89

47.4

1.7

0.002

31%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{1, 6}

975

17.1±15.5

0.91

46.4

0.2

32%

random

[16755..16766]

{23, 42}

954

17.6±15.9

0.91

-0.1

32%

random

[16755..16771]

{49, 55}

992

16.8±15.3

0.91

0.002

32%

random

[16755..16769]

{3, 39}

995

16.7±16.1

0.96

4.4

0.002

35%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{16, 38}

984

17±16.4

0.97

-0.1

0.001

35%

random

[16755..16772]

{20, 63}

1060

15.8±14.6

0.93

-0.2

0.001

32%

random

[16755..16771]

{3, 55}

954

17.5±17.3

0.99

53.4

-0.4

0.002

37%

random

[16755..16779]

{42, 53}

1049

15.9±15.2

0.95

0.1

33%

random

[16755..16767]

{60, 64}

1019

16.4±15.1

0.92

-1

31%

random

[16755..16785]

{42, 51}

984

17±15.8

0.93

-0.1

32%

random

[16755..16772]

{36, 41}

1021

16.4±14.6

0.89

-0.1

0.002

30%

random

[16755..16770]

{13, 36}

1055

15.9±15.6

0.98

47.4

-0.9

35%

random

[16755..16783]

{53, 73}

1004

16.7±16.1

0.97

-0.6

33%

random

[16755..16780]

{19, 72}

1052

15.9±14.9

0.94

45.5

-0.8

0.002

31%

random

[16755..16781]

{3, 24}

974

17.2±15.8

0.92

-0.5

0.001

30%

random

[16755..16777]

{1, 71}

941

17.8±16.2

0.91

0.9

0.003

32%

random

[16755..16756]

Click pe combinație pentru detalii complete: percentile, streaks, chi², backtest, predicție și timeline grafic.
Reference draw_id pentru calculul current_gap: 16754.

LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Top combinații — sistem 2/2 · mod smart