LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Source: datasn · 16,751 draws (max inner_id=16754) · Last: 2026-04-30 23:00:00 · Reference: 16754 (procesate) · 🎯 Live Prospective Validation →

⚠️ Niciun model nu bate statistic random pe acest dataset

Walk-forward validation pe 1000 extrageri + paired bootstrap (n=2000) confirmă că nicio strategie (HOT, DOW Aware, Anti-Corr, Smart, Mean Rev) NU are advantaj robust peste hazard — toate p-values > 0.14, CI 95% conține zero. Diferențele observate (+0.1 — +0.3 pp) sunt în limita de fluctuație random.

Ce înseamnă pentru tine: Folosește acest sistem ca instrument descriptiv (vezi cele mai frecvente, overdue, bursty, pattern-uri DOW), NU ca instrument de predicție garantată. Loto polonez Multi este matematic indistingabil de un proces aleator când evaluăm capacitatea de a prezice top-30 combinații.

Ce e adevărat: Anti-corelațiile la nivel de pereche (ex: {1,9} cu chi²=30) există ca fenomen statistic, dar nu se traduc în advantaj predictiv exploatabil la nivel de selecție top-N.

🧪 Detalii rezultate riguros statistice (walk-forward + paired bootstrap) (click pentru tabel complet)

Test SYSTEM 2 (perechi) — walk-forward pe 1000 extrageri, baseline random=5.92%:

Strategie	Δ vs rand	CI 95% (pp)	p-boot	Robust?
dow_aware	+0.31 pp	[-0.12, +0.72]	0.144	✗ nu robust
hot	+0.25 pp	[-0.13, +0.62]	0.239	✗ nu robust
smart	+0.16 pp	[-0.19, +0.53]	0.376	✗ nu robust
anti_corr	+0.11 pp	[-0.31, +0.55]	0.581	✗ nu robust

Interpretare statistică: Pentru ✓ ROBUST trebuie: CI 95% inferior > 0 ȘI p_bootstrap < 0.05. Niciun rezultat nu trece.

De ce a părut anterior că HOT bate random cu +0.95 pp? Multiple testing bias (am testat 8+ strategii — era inevitabil ca una să "câștige" prin hazard) + single split bias (un seed nefavorabil pentru random) + selection bias (am ales strategiile post-hoc). Walk-forward + paired bootstrap eliminat aceste bias-uri.

📊 Backtest inițial (cu bias-uri) — pentru transparență (click)

⚠️ Aceste rezultate au fost contaminat de bias-uri statistice — paired walk-forward de mai sus arată că nu se reproduc. Păstrate pentru transparență istorică.

Strategie	Sys 1	Sys 2	Sys 3	Câștigător la
🏆 HOT	+0.21 pp	+0.95 pp	-0.15 pp	Sys 2
🧠 Smart (pure confidence)	+0.57 pp	+0.76 pp	-0.01 pp	Sys 1
⚖️ Mean Reversion	-0.07 pp	+0.72 pp	+0.11 pp	Sys 3
📍 Recent Active	+0.56 pp	+0.31 pp	-0.17 pp	top 2 Sys 1
⭐ FEATURES NOI (doar sys 1):
🔗 Anti-Corr (corelații chi²)	+0.47 pp	+0.76 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
🗓️ DOW Aware (zi × ora)	+0.41 pp	+0.83 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
Random baseline	24.73%	5.45%	1.45%
🚫 Predict (vechi)	+0.01 pp	+0.23 pp	-0.13 pp	— nu folosi
Anti-predict	+0.07 pp	-0.07 pp	-0.49 pp	— sub random

📌 Recomandare per sistem: Sys 1 → 🧠 Smart | Sys 2 → 🏆 HOT | Sys 3 → ⚖️ Mean Rev (modurile se selectează automat când schimbi sistemul)

⚠️ Disclaimer onest: Improvement-urile sunt mici în absolut (sub 1 pp). Nu garantează câștig — ridică doar probabilitatea cu ~17% relativ peste hazard pe sys 2. Loto rămâne fundamental aleator. Sistemul ajută la informare, nu la siguranță.

SYS 1/1

16,754

80 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 2/2

16,754

3,160 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 3/3

16,754

82,173 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 4/4

16,754

1,470,317 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 5/5

6,000

24,305,101 combos · 35.8% of 16,754

Sistem: 1/1 2/2 3/3 4/4 5/5 ⓘ Mod auto-selectat: 📍 Recent

Top combinații — sistem 3/3 · mod recent

Min hits filter: 3 · afișate: 30

#	Combinație	Hits	Mean±std	CV	P95	Overdue σ	chi² p	BT acc	Conf	Type	Pred
1	{32, 49, 68}	240	69±66	0.96	197.7	-1	0.208	23%	43	random	[16757..16889]
2	{17, 50, 67}	252	65.4±63.5	0.97	188.5	-1	0.744	20%	39	random	[16756..16883]
3	{25, 38, 78}	250	67±66.6	0.99	173.6	-1	0.304	35%	44	random	[16755..16888]
4	{6, 32, 73}	221	74.8±81.1	1.08	252.2	-0.9	0.537	28%	40	random	[16755..16910]
5	{43, 56, 73}	223	74.5±72.4	0.97	194.9	-1	0.274	35%	44	random	[16756..16901]
6	{6, 38, 48}	235	70.7±70.6	1	199.4	-1	0.708	11%	37	random	[16755..16895]
7	{17, 38, 67}	226	74.3±69.8	0.94	213.8	-1.1	0.414	27%	42	random	[16759..16898]
8	{6, 25, 49}	223	75±83.8	1.12	242.7	-0.9	0.118	22%	42	random	[16755..16913]
9	{25, 46, 73}	236	71±69.1	0.97	194	-1	0.047	33%	48	random	[16756..16894]
10	{23, 43, 73}	245	68.2±74.2	1.09	202.7	-0.9	0.249	18%	40	random	[16755..16896]
11	{37, 38, 43}	230	72.3±71.8	0.99	216	-1	0.492	20%	40	random	[16755..16898]
12	{6, 23, 70}	239	70±73.1	1.04	223.4	-1	0.247	34%	43	random	[16755..16897]
13	{25, 32, 56}	231	71.7±76	1.06	245.9	-0.9	0.078	11%	41	random	[16755..16902]
14	{17, 48, 49}	235	70.2±69.7	0.99	214.8	-1	0.169	28%	44	random	[16755..16894]
15	{43, 48, 54}	247	67.7±74.1	1.09	190.8	-0.9	0.216	36%	43	random	[16755..16896]
16	{37, 46, 78}	222	75.4±75	1	218	-1	0.896	29%	39	random	[16755..16904]
17	{43, 49, 52}	207	80.4±83.5	1.04	223.8	-1	0.572	36%	42	random	[16755..16918]
18	{6, 25, 70}	231	72±72.5	1.01	201.4	-1	0.651	30%	40	random	[16755..16898]
19	{6, 37, 52}	229	71.6±71.1	0.99	193.6	-1	0.868	40%	42	random	[16755..16897]
20	{6, 38, 54}	225	74.1±66.7	0.9	195.5	-1.1	0.16	31%	46	random	[16761..16895]
21	{32, 48, 73}	233	71.8±68.9	0.96	213.8	-1	0.232	12%	40	random	[16757..16895]
22	{48, 67, 70}	235	71.4±78.6	1.1	224.4	-0.9	0.407	12%	37	random	[16755..16904]
23	{38, 52, 78}	207	80.5±82.3	1.02	243.5	-1	0.607	30%	41	random	[16755..16917]
24	{6, 17, 46}	222	75.2±68.8	0.91	220	-1.1	0.02	37%	51	random	[16760..16898]
25	{37, 38, 48}	237	70.7±71.3	1.01	228.3	-1	0.997	25%	38	random	[16755..16896]
26	{38, 68, 70}	246	67.9±62.8	0.92	185	-1.1	0.474	37%	44	random	[16759..16885]
27	{17, 46, 50}	221	75.1±86.8	1.16	241.3	-0.9	0.24	32%	42	random	[16755..16916]
28	{38, 48, 78}	230	71.5±72	1.01	211.4	-1	0.902	35%	41	random	[16755..16898]
29	{37, 48, 67}	227	73.3±71.8	0.98	204.5	-1	0.984	39%	41	random	[16756..16899]
30	{23, 49, 70}	224	74.5±66.8	0.9	200.9	-1.1	0.306	33%	44	random	[16762..16895]

Combinație

Hits

Mean±std

P95

Gap

Overdue σ

chi² p

BT acc

Conf

Type

Pred

{32, 49, 68}

240

69±66

0.96

197.7

-1

0.208

23%

random

[16757..16889]

{17, 50, 67}

252

65.4±63.5

0.97

188.5

-1

0.744

20%

random

[16756..16883]

{25, 38, 78}

250

67±66.6

0.99

173.6

-1

0.304

35%

random

[16755..16888]

{6, 32, 73}

221

74.8±81.1

1.08

252.2

-0.9

0.537

28%

random

[16755..16910]

{43, 56, 73}

223

74.5±72.4

0.97

194.9

-1

0.274

35%

random

[16756..16901]

{6, 38, 48}

235

70.7±70.6

199.4

-1

0.708

11%

random

[16755..16895]

{17, 38, 67}

226

74.3±69.8

0.94

213.8

-1.1

0.414

27%

random

[16759..16898]

{6, 25, 49}

223

75±83.8

1.12

242.7

-0.9

0.118

22%

random

[16755..16913]

{25, 46, 73}

236

71±69.1

0.97

194

-1

0.047

33%

random

[16756..16894]

{23, 43, 73}

245

68.2±74.2

1.09

202.7

-0.9

0.249

18%

random

[16755..16896]

{37, 38, 43}

230

72.3±71.8

0.99

216

-1

0.492

20%

random

[16755..16898]

{6, 23, 70}

239

70±73.1

1.04

223.4

-1

0.247

34%

random

[16755..16897]

{25, 32, 56}

231

71.7±76

1.06

245.9

-0.9

0.078

11%

random

[16755..16902]

{17, 48, 49}

235

70.2±69.7

0.99

214.8

-1

0.169

28%

random

[16755..16894]

{43, 48, 54}

247

67.7±74.1

1.09

190.8

-0.9

0.216

36%

random

[16755..16896]

{37, 46, 78}

222

75.4±75

218

-1

0.896

29%

random

[16755..16904]

{43, 49, 52}

207

80.4±83.5

1.04

223.8

-1

0.572

36%

random

[16755..16918]

{6, 25, 70}

231

72±72.5

1.01

201.4

-1

0.651

30%

random

[16755..16898]

{6, 37, 52}

229

71.6±71.1

0.99

193.6

-1

0.868

40%

random

[16755..16897]

{6, 38, 54}

225

74.1±66.7

0.9

195.5

-1.1

0.16

31%

random

[16761..16895]

{32, 48, 73}

233

71.8±68.9

0.96

213.8

-1

0.232

12%

random

[16757..16895]

{48, 67, 70}

235

71.4±78.6

1.1

224.4

-0.9

0.407

12%

random

[16755..16904]

{38, 52, 78}

207

80.5±82.3

1.02

243.5

-1

0.607

30%

random

[16755..16917]

{6, 17, 46}

222

75.2±68.8

0.91

220

-1.1

0.02

37%

random

[16760..16898]

{37, 38, 48}

237

70.7±71.3

1.01

228.3

-1

0.997

25%

random

[16755..16896]

{38, 68, 70}

246

67.9±62.8

0.92

185

-1.1

0.474

37%

random

[16759..16885]

{17, 46, 50}

221

75.1±86.8

1.16

241.3

-0.9

0.24

32%

random

[16755..16916]

{38, 48, 78}

230

71.5±72

1.01

211.4

-1

0.902

35%

random

[16755..16898]

{37, 48, 67}

227

73.3±71.8

0.98

204.5

-1

0.984

39%

random

[16756..16899]

{23, 49, 70}

224

74.5±66.8

0.9

200.9

-1.1

0.306

33%

random

[16762..16895]

Click pe combinație pentru detalii complete: percentile, streaks, chi², backtest, predicție și timeline grafic.
Reference draw_id pentru calculul current_gap: 16754.

LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Top combinații — sistem 3/3 · mod recent