LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Source: datasn · 16,751 draws (max inner_id=16754) · Last: 2026-04-30 23:00:00 · Reference: 16754 (procesate) · 🎯 Live Prospective Validation →

⚠️ Niciun model nu bate statistic random pe acest dataset

Walk-forward validation pe 1000 extrageri + paired bootstrap (n=2000) confirmă că nicio strategie (HOT, DOW Aware, Anti-Corr, Smart, Mean Rev) NU are advantaj robust peste hazard — toate p-values > 0.14, CI 95% conține zero. Diferențele observate (+0.1 — +0.3 pp) sunt în limita de fluctuație random.

Ce înseamnă pentru tine: Folosește acest sistem ca instrument descriptiv (vezi cele mai frecvente, overdue, bursty, pattern-uri DOW), NU ca instrument de predicție garantată. Loto polonez Multi este matematic indistingabil de un proces aleator când evaluăm capacitatea de a prezice top-30 combinații.

Ce e adevărat: Anti-corelațiile la nivel de pereche (ex: {1,9} cu chi²=30) există ca fenomen statistic, dar nu se traduc în advantaj predictiv exploatabil la nivel de selecție top-N.

🧪 Detalii rezultate riguros statistice (walk-forward + paired bootstrap) (click pentru tabel complet)

Test SYSTEM 2 (perechi) — walk-forward pe 1000 extrageri, baseline random=5.92%:

Strategie	Δ vs rand	CI 95% (pp)	p-boot	Robust?
dow_aware	+0.31 pp	[-0.12, +0.72]	0.144	✗ nu robust
hot	+0.25 pp	[-0.13, +0.62]	0.239	✗ nu robust
smart	+0.16 pp	[-0.19, +0.53]	0.376	✗ nu robust
anti_corr	+0.11 pp	[-0.31, +0.55]	0.581	✗ nu robust

Interpretare statistică: Pentru ✓ ROBUST trebuie: CI 95% inferior > 0 ȘI p_bootstrap < 0.05. Niciun rezultat nu trece.

De ce a părut anterior că HOT bate random cu +0.95 pp? Multiple testing bias (am testat 8+ strategii — era inevitabil ca una să "câștige" prin hazard) + single split bias (un seed nefavorabil pentru random) + selection bias (am ales strategiile post-hoc). Walk-forward + paired bootstrap eliminat aceste bias-uri.

📊 Backtest inițial (cu bias-uri) — pentru transparență (click)

⚠️ Aceste rezultate au fost contaminat de bias-uri statistice — paired walk-forward de mai sus arată că nu se reproduc. Păstrate pentru transparență istorică.

Strategie	Sys 1	Sys 2	Sys 3	Câștigător la
🏆 HOT	+0.21 pp	+0.95 pp	-0.15 pp	Sys 2
🧠 Smart (pure confidence)	+0.57 pp	+0.76 pp	-0.01 pp	Sys 1
⚖️ Mean Reversion	-0.07 pp	+0.72 pp	+0.11 pp	Sys 3
📍 Recent Active	+0.56 pp	+0.31 pp	-0.17 pp	top 2 Sys 1
⭐ FEATURES NOI (doar sys 1):
🔗 Anti-Corr (corelații chi²)	+0.47 pp	+0.76 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
🗓️ DOW Aware (zi × ora)	+0.41 pp	+0.83 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
Random baseline	24.73%	5.45%	1.45%
🚫 Predict (vechi)	+0.01 pp	+0.23 pp	-0.13 pp	— nu folosi
Anti-predict	+0.07 pp	-0.07 pp	-0.49 pp	— sub random

📌 Recomandare per sistem: Sys 1 → 🧠 Smart | Sys 2 → 🏆 HOT | Sys 3 → ⚖️ Mean Rev (modurile se selectează automat când schimbi sistemul)

⚠️ Disclaimer onest: Improvement-urile sunt mici în absolut (sub 1 pp). Nu garantează câștig — ridică doar probabilitatea cu ~17% relativ peste hazard pe sys 2. Loto rămâne fundamental aleator. Sistemul ajută la informare, nu la siguranță.

SYS 1/1

16,754

80 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 2/2

16,754

3,160 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 3/3

16,754

82,173 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 4/4

16,754

1,470,317 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 5/5

6,000

24,305,101 combos · 35.8% of 16,754

Sistem: 1/1 2/2 3/3 4/4 5/5 ⓘ Mod auto-selectat: predict

Top combinații — sistem 3/3 · mod predict

Min hits filter: 3 · afișate: 30

💡 Combinațiile cu cel mai mare scor compus (confidence × overdue). Cele mai puternice candidate pentru următoarele extrageri.

#	Combinație	Hits	Mean±std	CV	P95	Gap	Overdue σ	chi² p	BT acc	Conf	Type	Pred
1	{11, 29, 44}	220	74.9±65.3	0.87	204.2	336	4	0.003	45%	58	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
2	{31, 41, 52}	214	75.5±69.2	0.92	229	334	3.7	0	41%	57	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
3	{9, 21, 67}	225	73.5±61.5	0.84	183	273	3.2	0.003	40%	57	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
4	{17, 24, 36}	237	69.1±61.3	0.89	181.8	301	3.8	0.002	37%	56	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
5	{23, 47, 67}	238	69.1±64.3	0.93	229.2	367	4.6	0	36%	56	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
6	{2, 54, 55}	226	71.9±63.6	0.88	193	316	3.8	0.002	29%	55	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
7	{14, 38, 71}	229	71.7±62.1	0.87	210.7	311	3.9	0.006	39%	55	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
8	{22, 46, 67}	240	68.1±64.2	0.94	213.1	444	5.9	0.011	45%	54	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
9	{11, 36, 53}	211	77.6±61.7	0.8	200.6	285	3.4	0.036	47%	54	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
10	{32, 59, 63}	232	70.1±66.2	0.94	189	350	4.2	0.023	49%	53	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
11	{3, 27, 31}	221	73.5±65	0.88	205.6	535	7.1	0.022	45%	53	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
12	{33, 36, 53}	240	68.8±70.6	1.03	233.1	285	3.1	0.001	27%	53	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
13	{23, 34, 47}	218	75.5±63.5	0.84	198	333	4.1	0.019	40%	53	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
14	{17, 62, 65}	210	78.3±62.8	0.8	196.6	324	3.9	0.011	31%	53	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
15	{8, 24, 54}	202	81.7±76.4	0.94	231	321	3.1	0.004	27%	53	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
16	{2, 37, 53}	215	76.2±66.1	0.87	184	414	5.1	0.008	31%	53	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
17	{17, 41, 58}	216	76.3±62.4	0.82	204.3	338	4.2	0.017	36%	53	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
18	{24, 52, 55}	211	75.9±69.8	0.92	183.7	409	4.8	0.003	23%	52	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
19	{13, 19, 26}	246	66.9±64.8	0.97	175.4	320	3.9	0.008	35%	52	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
20	{12, 38, 70}	249	65.9±58.1	0.88	190.7	381	5.4	0.023	42%	52	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
21	{3, 15, 44}	223	73.8±61.1	0.83	193.6	371	4.9	0.02	35%	52	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
22	{2, 27, 63}	215	76.8±67.8	0.88	213.1	289	3.1	0.02	39%	52	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
23	{27, 63, 79}	229	71.3±69.6	0.98	234.7	382	4.5	0.013	40%	52	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
24	{9, 27, 31}	233	71±66.7	0.94	191.7	266	2.9	0.004	29%	53	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
25	{58, 60, 61}	207	78.5±71.2	0.91	205.8	327	3.5	0.03	43%	52	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
26	{25, 29, 31}	265	62.3±53.6	0.86	161.6	281	4.1	0.036	41%	52	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
27	{1, 55, 72}	194	83.1±66.6	0.8	209	485	6	0.039	38%	51	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
28	{25, 62, 72}	227	71.8±68.4	0.95	197.3	417	5	0.009	29%	51	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
29	{4, 9, 66}	220	74.8±67.1	0.9	202.8	374	4.5	0.012	29%	51	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
30	{4, 9, 77}	228	72±60.2	0.84	179.8	410	5.6	0.012	26%	51	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

Combinație

Hits

Mean±std

P95

Gap

Overdue σ

chi² p

BT acc

Conf

Type

Pred

{11, 29, 44}

220

74.9±65.3

0.87

204.2

336

0.003

45%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{31, 41, 52}

214

75.5±69.2

0.92

229

334

3.7

41%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{9, 21, 67}

225

73.5±61.5

0.84

183

273

3.2

0.003

40%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{17, 24, 36}

237

69.1±61.3

0.89

181.8

301

3.8

0.002

37%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{23, 47, 67}

238

69.1±64.3

0.93

229.2

367

4.6

36%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{2, 54, 55}

226

71.9±63.6

0.88

193

316

3.8

0.002

29%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{14, 38, 71}

229

71.7±62.1

0.87

210.7

311

3.9

0.006

39%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{22, 46, 67}

240

68.1±64.2

0.94

213.1

444

5.9

0.011

45%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{11, 36, 53}

211

77.6±61.7

0.8

200.6

285

3.4

0.036

47%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{32, 59, 63}

232

70.1±66.2

0.94

189

350

4.2

0.023

49%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{3, 27, 31}

221

73.5±65

0.88

205.6

535

7.1

0.022

45%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{33, 36, 53}

240

68.8±70.6

1.03

233.1

285

3.1

0.001

27%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{23, 34, 47}

218

75.5±63.5

0.84

198

333

4.1

0.019

40%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{17, 62, 65}

210

78.3±62.8

0.8

196.6

324

3.9

0.011

31%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{8, 24, 54}

202

81.7±76.4

0.94

231

321

3.1

0.004

27%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{2, 37, 53}

215

76.2±66.1

0.87

184

414

5.1

0.008

31%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{17, 41, 58}

216

76.3±62.4

0.82

204.3

338

4.2

0.017

36%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{24, 52, 55}

211

75.9±69.8

0.92

183.7

409

4.8

0.003

23%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{13, 19, 26}

246

66.9±64.8

0.97

175.4

320

3.9

0.008

35%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{12, 38, 70}

249

65.9±58.1

0.88

190.7

381

5.4

0.023

42%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{3, 15, 44}

223

73.8±61.1

0.83

193.6

371

4.9

0.02

35%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{2, 27, 63}

215

76.8±67.8

0.88

213.1

289

3.1

0.02

39%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{27, 63, 79}

229

71.3±69.6

0.98

234.7

382

4.5

0.013

40%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{9, 27, 31}

233

71±66.7

0.94

191.7

266

2.9

0.004

29%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{58, 60, 61}

207

78.5±71.2

0.91

205.8

327

3.5

0.03

43%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{25, 29, 31}

265

62.3±53.6

0.86

161.6

281

4.1

0.036

41%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{1, 55, 72}

194

83.1±66.6

0.8

209

485

0.039

38%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{25, 62, 72}

227

71.8±68.4

0.95

197.3

417

0.009

29%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{4, 9, 66}

220

74.8±67.1

0.9

202.8

374

4.5

0.012

29%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{4, 9, 77}

228

72±60.2

0.84

179.8

410

5.6

0.012

26%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

Click pe combinație pentru detalii complete: percentile, streaks, chi², backtest, predicție și timeline grafic.
Reference draw_id pentru calculul current_gap: 16754.

LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Top combinații — sistem 3/3 · mod predict