LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Source: datasn · 16,751 draws (max inner_id=16754) · Last: 2026-04-30 23:00:00 · Reference: 16754 (procesate) · 🎯 Live Prospective Validation →

⚠️ Niciun model nu bate statistic random pe acest dataset

Walk-forward validation pe 1000 extrageri + paired bootstrap (n=2000) confirmă că nicio strategie (HOT, DOW Aware, Anti-Corr, Smart, Mean Rev) NU are advantaj robust peste hazard — toate p-values > 0.14, CI 95% conține zero. Diferențele observate (+0.1 — +0.3 pp) sunt în limita de fluctuație random.

Ce înseamnă pentru tine: Folosește acest sistem ca instrument descriptiv (vezi cele mai frecvente, overdue, bursty, pattern-uri DOW), NU ca instrument de predicție garantată. Loto polonez Multi este matematic indistingabil de un proces aleator când evaluăm capacitatea de a prezice top-30 combinații.

Ce e adevărat: Anti-corelațiile la nivel de pereche (ex: {1,9} cu chi²=30) există ca fenomen statistic, dar nu se traduc în advantaj predictiv exploatabil la nivel de selecție top-N.

🧪 Detalii rezultate riguros statistice (walk-forward + paired bootstrap) (click pentru tabel complet)

Test SYSTEM 2 (perechi) — walk-forward pe 1000 extrageri, baseline random=5.92%:

Strategie	Δ vs rand	CI 95% (pp)	p-boot	Robust?
dow_aware	+0.31 pp	[-0.12, +0.72]	0.144	✗ nu robust
hot	+0.25 pp	[-0.13, +0.62]	0.239	✗ nu robust
smart	+0.16 pp	[-0.19, +0.53]	0.376	✗ nu robust
anti_corr	+0.11 pp	[-0.31, +0.55]	0.581	✗ nu robust

Interpretare statistică: Pentru ✓ ROBUST trebuie: CI 95% inferior > 0 ȘI p_bootstrap < 0.05. Niciun rezultat nu trece.

De ce a părut anterior că HOT bate random cu +0.95 pp? Multiple testing bias (am testat 8+ strategii — era inevitabil ca una să "câștige" prin hazard) + single split bias (un seed nefavorabil pentru random) + selection bias (am ales strategiile post-hoc). Walk-forward + paired bootstrap eliminat aceste bias-uri.

📊 Backtest inițial (cu bias-uri) — pentru transparență (click)

⚠️ Aceste rezultate au fost contaminat de bias-uri statistice — paired walk-forward de mai sus arată că nu se reproduc. Păstrate pentru transparență istorică.

Strategie	Sys 1	Sys 2	Sys 3	Câștigător la
🏆 HOT	+0.21 pp	+0.95 pp	-0.15 pp	Sys 2
🧠 Smart (pure confidence)	+0.57 pp	+0.76 pp	-0.01 pp	Sys 1
⚖️ Mean Reversion	-0.07 pp	+0.72 pp	+0.11 pp	Sys 3
📍 Recent Active	+0.56 pp	+0.31 pp	-0.17 pp	top 2 Sys 1
⭐ FEATURES NOI (doar sys 1):
🔗 Anti-Corr (corelații chi²)	+0.47 pp	+0.76 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
🗓️ DOW Aware (zi × ora)	+0.41 pp	+0.83 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
Random baseline	24.73%	5.45%	1.45%
🚫 Predict (vechi)	+0.01 pp	+0.23 pp	-0.13 pp	— nu folosi
Anti-predict	+0.07 pp	-0.07 pp	-0.49 pp	— sub random

📌 Recomandare per sistem: Sys 1 → 🧠 Smart | Sys 2 → 🏆 HOT | Sys 3 → ⚖️ Mean Rev (modurile se selectează automat când schimbi sistemul)

⚠️ Disclaimer onest: Improvement-urile sunt mici în absolut (sub 1 pp). Nu garantează câștig — ridică doar probabilitatea cu ~17% relativ peste hazard pe sys 2. Loto rămâne fundamental aleator. Sistemul ajută la informare, nu la siguranță.

SYS 1/1

16,754

80 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 2/2

16,754

3,160 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 3/3

16,754

82,173 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 4/4

16,754

1,470,317 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 5/5

6,000

24,305,101 combos · 35.8% of 16,754

Sistem: 1/1 2/2 3/3 4/4 5/5 ⓘ Mod auto-selectat: overdue

Top combinații — sistem 3/3 · mod overdue

Min hits filter: 3 · afișate: 30

💡 Combinații cu gap actual mult peste mean (z-score > 1σ). Statistic ar trebui să fi apărut deja. Cele mai utile pentru predicție.

#	Combinație	Hits	Mean±std	CV	P95	Gap	Overdue σ	chi² p	BT acc	Conf	Type	Pred
1	{15, 74, 75}	239	67.1±62.1	0.92	208.2	718	10.5	0.757	21%	39	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
2	{14, 21, 33}	242	66±67.9	1.03	203	771	10.4	0.602	26%	40	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
3	{24, 33, 59}	210	75.9±79.8	1.05	212	866	9.9	0.091	17%	42	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
4	{11, 31, 54}	226	71.1±67.5	0.95	202.8	737	9.9	0.782	30%	41	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
5	{40, 47, 61}	242	66.6±69	1.04	189	683	8.9	0.897	19%	37	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
6	{21, 27, 76}	254	63.9±58.6	0.92	191.4	579	8.8	0.101	28%	46	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
7	{15, 31, 44}	235	68.6±68.9	1	234.6	661	8.6	0.25	7%	38	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
8	{14, 45, 63}	222	72.7±65.6	0.9	206	630	8.5	0.706	15%	39	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
9	{1, 34, 66}	218	73.6±67.9	0.92	198.8	648	8.5	0.013	8%	46	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
10	{33, 34, 60}	231	70.4±58.4	0.83	187.6	557	8.3	0.134	19%	45	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
11	{1, 4, 60}	246	66±59.2	0.9	190.2	546	8.1	0.466	29%	43	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
12	{54, 59, 64}	221	72.1±73	1.01	213.9	660	8.1	0.789	22%	38	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
13	{15, 66, 67}	245	66.1±60.1	0.91	183.4	549	8	0.773	28%	41	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
14	{16, 49, 52}	218	73.8±65.1	0.88	206.8	589	7.9	0.313	40%	46	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
15	{40, 43, 60}	244	66.6±62.7	0.94	198.3	557	7.8	0.478	27%	41	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
16	{15, 33, 48}	224	72.2±73.9	1.02	211.2	644	7.7	0.082	4%	40	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
17	{2, 11, 58}	241	66.9±59.7	0.89	188.2	525	7.7	0.192	35%	46	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
18	{9, 45, 80}	228	71±70.6	0.99	211.2	609	7.6	0.886	20%	38	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
19	{1, 4, 72}	233	69.8±64.2	0.92	205	549	7.5	0.301	23%	42	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
20	{52, 55, 67}	225	71.3±67.4	0.95	205.7	573	7.4	0.893	28%	40	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
21	{7, 33, 65}	225	71.8±72.6	1.01	215	607	7.4	0.886	18%	37	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
22	{24, 29, 59}	217	74.3±78.6	1.06	212	653	7.4	0.61	34%	41	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
23	{15, 26, 66}	236	68.6±69.4	1.01	208.1	576	7.3	0.928	32%	40	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
24	{16, 24, 34}	237	68.2±62.9	0.92	190	528	7.3	0.457	28%	42	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
25	{20, 29, 63}	239	67.8±59.1	0.87	187.5	495	7.2	0.661	38%	44	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
26	{5, 31, 33}	240	67.8±61.1	0.9	187.3	508	7.2	0.558	35%	43	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
27	{2, 9, 27}	212	76.5±71	0.93	201.5	587	7.2	0.203	25%	44	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
28	{15, 31, 59}	230	70.6±67	0.95	216.2	552	7.2	0.234	18%	41	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
29	{22, 49, 67}	227	71.4±65	0.91	207.8	537	7.2	0.085	18%	44	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
30	{62, 76, 79}	206	78±78.1	1	220.6	636	7.1	0.61	34%	42	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

Combinație

Hits

Mean±std

P95

Gap

Overdue σ

chi² p

BT acc

Conf

Type

Pred

{15, 74, 75}

239

67.1±62.1

0.92

208.2

718

10.5

0.757

21%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{14, 21, 33}

242

66±67.9

1.03

203

771

10.4

0.602

26%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{24, 33, 59}

210

75.9±79.8

1.05

212

866

9.9

0.091

17%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{11, 31, 54}

226

71.1±67.5

0.95

202.8

737

9.9

0.782

30%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{40, 47, 61}

242

66.6±69

1.04

189

683

8.9

0.897

19%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{21, 27, 76}

254

63.9±58.6

0.92

191.4

579

8.8

0.101

28%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{15, 31, 44}

235

68.6±68.9

234.6

661

8.6

0.25

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{14, 45, 63}

222

72.7±65.6

0.9

206

630

8.5

0.706

15%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{1, 34, 66}

218

73.6±67.9

0.92

198.8

648

8.5

0.013

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{33, 34, 60}

231

70.4±58.4

0.83

187.6

557

8.3

0.134

19%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{1, 4, 60}

246

66±59.2

0.9

190.2

546

8.1

0.466

29%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{54, 59, 64}

221

72.1±73

1.01

213.9

660

8.1

0.789

22%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{15, 66, 67}

245

66.1±60.1

0.91

183.4

549

0.773

28%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{16, 49, 52}

218

73.8±65.1

0.88

206.8

589

7.9

0.313

40%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{40, 43, 60}

244

66.6±62.7

0.94

198.3

557

7.8

0.478

27%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{15, 33, 48}

224

72.2±73.9

1.02

211.2

644

7.7

0.082

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{2, 11, 58}

241

66.9±59.7

0.89

188.2

525

7.7

0.192

35%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{9, 45, 80}

228

71±70.6

0.99

211.2

609

7.6

0.886

20%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{1, 4, 72}

233

69.8±64.2

0.92

205

549

7.5

0.301

23%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{52, 55, 67}

225

71.3±67.4

0.95

205.7

573

7.4

0.893

28%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{7, 33, 65}

225

71.8±72.6

1.01

215

607

7.4

0.886

18%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{24, 29, 59}

217

74.3±78.6

1.06

212

653

7.4

0.61

34%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{15, 26, 66}

236

68.6±69.4

1.01

208.1

576

7.3

0.928

32%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{16, 24, 34}

237

68.2±62.9

0.92

190

528

7.3

0.457

28%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{20, 29, 63}

239

67.8±59.1

0.87

187.5

495

7.2

0.661

38%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{5, 31, 33}

240

67.8±61.1

0.9

187.3

508

7.2

0.558

35%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{2, 9, 27}

212

76.5±71

0.93

201.5

587

7.2

0.203

25%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{15, 31, 59}

230

70.6±67

0.95

216.2

552

7.2

0.234

18%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{22, 49, 67}

227

71.4±65

0.91

207.8

537

7.2

0.085

18%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{62, 76, 79}

206

78±78.1

220.6

636

7.1

0.61

34%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

Click pe combinație pentru detalii complete: percentile, streaks, chi², backtest, predicție și timeline grafic.
Reference draw_id pentru calculul current_gap: 16754.

LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Top combinații — sistem 3/3 · mod overdue