LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Source: datasn · 16,751 draws (max inner_id=16754) · Last: 2026-04-30 23:00:00 · Reference: 16754 (procesate) · 🎯 Live Prospective Validation →

⚠️ Niciun model nu bate statistic random pe acest dataset

Walk-forward validation pe 1000 extrageri + paired bootstrap (n=2000) confirmă că nicio strategie (HOT, DOW Aware, Anti-Corr, Smart, Mean Rev) NU are advantaj robust peste hazard — toate p-values > 0.14, CI 95% conține zero. Diferențele observate (+0.1 — +0.3 pp) sunt în limita de fluctuație random.

Ce înseamnă pentru tine: Folosește acest sistem ca instrument descriptiv (vezi cele mai frecvente, overdue, bursty, pattern-uri DOW), NU ca instrument de predicție garantată. Loto polonez Multi este matematic indistingabil de un proces aleator când evaluăm capacitatea de a prezice top-30 combinații.

Ce e adevărat: Anti-corelațiile la nivel de pereche (ex: {1,9} cu chi²=30) există ca fenomen statistic, dar nu se traduc în advantaj predictiv exploatabil la nivel de selecție top-N.

🧪 Detalii rezultate riguros statistice (walk-forward + paired bootstrap) (click pentru tabel complet)

Test SYSTEM 2 (perechi) — walk-forward pe 1000 extrageri, baseline random=5.92%:

Strategie	Δ vs rand	CI 95% (pp)	p-boot	Robust?
dow_aware	+0.31 pp	[-0.12, +0.72]	0.144	✗ nu robust
hot	+0.25 pp	[-0.13, +0.62]	0.239	✗ nu robust
smart	+0.16 pp	[-0.19, +0.53]	0.376	✗ nu robust
anti_corr	+0.11 pp	[-0.31, +0.55]	0.581	✗ nu robust

Interpretare statistică: Pentru ✓ ROBUST trebuie: CI 95% inferior > 0 ȘI p_bootstrap < 0.05. Niciun rezultat nu trece.

De ce a părut anterior că HOT bate random cu +0.95 pp? Multiple testing bias (am testat 8+ strategii — era inevitabil ca una să "câștige" prin hazard) + single split bias (un seed nefavorabil pentru random) + selection bias (am ales strategiile post-hoc). Walk-forward + paired bootstrap eliminat aceste bias-uri.

📊 Backtest inițial (cu bias-uri) — pentru transparență (click)

⚠️ Aceste rezultate au fost contaminat de bias-uri statistice — paired walk-forward de mai sus arată că nu se reproduc. Păstrate pentru transparență istorică.

Strategie	Sys 1	Sys 2	Sys 3	Câștigător la
🏆 HOT	+0.21 pp	+0.95 pp	-0.15 pp	Sys 2
🧠 Smart (pure confidence)	+0.57 pp	+0.76 pp	-0.01 pp	Sys 1
⚖️ Mean Reversion	-0.07 pp	+0.72 pp	+0.11 pp	Sys 3
📍 Recent Active	+0.56 pp	+0.31 pp	-0.17 pp	top 2 Sys 1
⭐ FEATURES NOI (doar sys 1):
🔗 Anti-Corr (corelații chi²)	+0.47 pp	+0.76 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
🗓️ DOW Aware (zi × ora)	+0.41 pp	+0.83 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
Random baseline	24.73%	5.45%	1.45%
🚫 Predict (vechi)	+0.01 pp	+0.23 pp	-0.13 pp	— nu folosi
Anti-predict	+0.07 pp	-0.07 pp	-0.49 pp	— sub random

📌 Recomandare per sistem: Sys 1 → 🧠 Smart | Sys 2 → 🏆 HOT | Sys 3 → ⚖️ Mean Rev (modurile se selectează automat când schimbi sistemul)

⚠️ Disclaimer onest: Improvement-urile sunt mici în absolut (sub 1 pp). Nu garantează câștig — ridică doar probabilitatea cu ~17% relativ peste hazard pe sys 2. Loto rămâne fundamental aleator. Sistemul ajută la informare, nu la siguranță.

SYS 1/1

16,754

80 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 2/2

16,754

3,160 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 3/3

16,754

82,173 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 4/4

16,754

1,470,317 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 5/5

6,000

24,305,081 combos · 35.8% of 16,754

Sistem: 1/1 2/2 3/3 4/4 5/5 ⓘ Mod auto-selectat: nonrandom

Top combinații — sistem 3/3 · mod nonrandom

Min hits filter: 3 · afișate: 30

💡 Sortate după p-value chi-square crescător. p<0.05 = pattern statistic non-random. La istoric mare, majoritatea sunt random — vezi câte trec pragul.

#	Combinație	Hits	Mean±std	CV	P95	Gap	Overdue σ	BT acc	Conf	Type	Pred
1	{30, 48, 76}	259	64.5±51.5	0.8	163.1	45	-0.4	48%	60	random	[16755..16825]
2	{16, 28, 50}	234	71±72.5	1.02	200.6	21	-0.7	45%	57	random	[16755..16877]
3	{16, 46, 68}	246	67.9±64.9	0.96	174.2	34	-0.5	36%	56	random	[16755..16853]
4	{15, 31, 78}	239	69.8±77.5	1.11	215.3	2	-0.9	19%	50	random	[16755..16899]
5	{24, 44, 52}	232	71.9±73.9	1.03	246	120	0.7	26%	53	random	[16755..16780]
6	{24, 54, 63}	227	73.8±66.7	0.9	202.5	20	-0.8	30%	55	random	[16755..16875]
7	{1, 8, 68}	202	82.5±64.3	0.78	201	90	0.1	43%	59	random	[16755..16811]
8	{9, 23, 58}	234	70±76.3	1.09	202.8	278	2.7	38%	55	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
9	{21, 24, 53}	225	74.2±66.1	0.89	192	75	0	26%	54	random	[16755..16819]
10	{16, 57, 66}	201	83.4±82.1	0.98	222.1	22	-0.7	4%	49	random	[16755..16897]
11	{28, 29, 34}	244	68.6±66.8	0.97	200	23	-0.7	32%	55	random	[16755..16866]
12	{42, 54, 72}	236	70.8±79.4	1.12	216.7	57	-0.2	17%	50	random	[16755..16847]
13	{22, 34, 75}	239	70.1±66.4	0.95	174.5	9	-0.9	39%	56	random	[16755..16881]
14	{10, 68, 79}	241	69.6±69.5	1	173	17	-0.8	24%	53	random	[16755..16876]
15	{25, 33, 57}	214	78±62.1	0.8	194	21	-0.9	36%	58	random	[16755..16873]
16	{16, 75, 77}	234	71.5±65.2	0.91	180.6	95	0.4	42%	58	random	[16755..16796]
17	{19, 24, 48}	246	67.9±55	0.81	172.8	73	0.1	31%	56	random	[16755..16804]
18	{41, 69, 79}	208	80.4±63.8	0.79	196.5	7	-1.2	52%	61	random	[16764..16891]
19	{19, 33, 56}	228	73±67	0.92	204	20	-0.8	9%	51	random	[16755..16874]
20	{23, 47, 67}	238	69.1±64.3	0.93	229.2	367	4.6	36%	56	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
21	{20, 59, 67}	217	77.1±73.8	0.96	229.3	3	-1	31%	55	random	[16755..16902]
22	{20, 63, 72}	261	64±63.7	1	175.1	71	0.1	45%	57	random	[16755..16811]
23	{3, 44, 67}	214	78.3±77.3	0.99	200.6	80	0	24%	53	random	[16755..16830]
24	{26, 53, 75}	252	66.4±55.8	0.84	169	85	0.3	40%	58	random	[16755..16791]
25	{2, 56, 79}	226	73.7±66	0.9	200.2	43	-0.5	44%	58	random	[16755..16851]
26	{54, 64, 77}	213	77.6±67.5	0.87	202	226	2.2	34%	56	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
27	{18, 47, 70}	266	62.8±52.3	0.83	157	33	-0.6	26%	55	random	[16755..16836]
28	{29, 69, 76}	266	62.4±57	0.91	158	95	0.6	29%	55	random	[16755..16778]
29	{31, 41, 52}	214	75.5±69.2	0.92	229	334	3.7	41%	57	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
30	{35, 42, 68}	254	66.1±64	0.97	185	1	-1	32%	55	random	[16755..16883]

Combinație

Hits

Mean±std

P95

Gap

Overdue σ

chi² p

BT acc

Conf

Type

Pred

{30, 48, 76}

259

64.5±51.5

0.8

163.1

-0.4

48%

random

[16755..16825]

{16, 28, 50}

234

71±72.5

1.02

200.6

-0.7

45%

random

[16755..16877]

{16, 46, 68}

246

67.9±64.9

0.96

174.2

-0.5

36%

random

[16755..16853]

{15, 31, 78}

239

69.8±77.5

1.11

215.3

-0.9

19%

random

[16755..16899]

{24, 44, 52}

232

71.9±73.9

1.03

246

120

0.7

26%

random

[16755..16780]

{24, 54, 63}

227

73.8±66.7

0.9

202.5

-0.8

30%

random

[16755..16875]

{1, 8, 68}

202

82.5±64.3

0.78

201

0.1

43%

random

[16755..16811]

{9, 23, 58}

234

70±76.3

1.09

202.8

278

2.7

38%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{21, 24, 53}

225

74.2±66.1

0.89

192

26%

random

[16755..16819]

{16, 57, 66}

201

83.4±82.1

0.98

222.1

-0.7

random

[16755..16897]

{28, 29, 34}

244

68.6±66.8

0.97

200

-0.7

32%

random

[16755..16866]

{42, 54, 72}

236

70.8±79.4

1.12

216.7

-0.2

17%

random

[16755..16847]

{22, 34, 75}

239

70.1±66.4

0.95

174.5

-0.9

39%

random

[16755..16881]

{10, 68, 79}

241

69.6±69.5

173

-0.8

24%

random

[16755..16876]

{25, 33, 57}

214

78±62.1

0.8

194

-0.9

36%

random

[16755..16873]

{16, 75, 77}

234

71.5±65.2

0.91

180.6

0.4

42%

random

[16755..16796]

{19, 24, 48}

246

67.9±55

0.81

172.8

0.1

31%

random

[16755..16804]

{41, 69, 79}

208

80.4±63.8

0.79

196.5

-1.2

52%

random

[16764..16891]

{19, 33, 56}

228

73±67

0.92

204

-0.8

random

[16755..16874]

{23, 47, 67}

238

69.1±64.3

0.93

229.2

367

4.6

36%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{20, 59, 67}

217

77.1±73.8

0.96

229.3

-1

31%

random

[16755..16902]

{20, 63, 72}

261

64±63.7

175.1

0.1

45%

random

[16755..16811]

{3, 44, 67}

214

78.3±77.3

0.99

200.6

24%

random

[16755..16830]

{26, 53, 75}

252

66.4±55.8

0.84

169

0.3

40%

random

[16755..16791]

{2, 56, 79}

226

73.7±66

0.9

200.2

-0.5

44%

random

[16755..16851]

{54, 64, 77}

213

77.6±67.5

0.87

202

226

2.2

34%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{18, 47, 70}

266

62.8±52.3

0.83

157

-0.6

26%

random

[16755..16836]

{29, 69, 76}

266

62.4±57

0.91

158

0.6

29%

random

[16755..16778]

{31, 41, 52}

214

75.5±69.2

0.92

229

334

3.7

41%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{35, 42, 68}

254

66.1±64

0.97

185

-1

32%

random

[16755..16883]

Click pe combinație pentru detalii complete: percentile, streaks, chi², backtest, predicție și timeline grafic.
Reference draw_id pentru calculul current_gap: 16754.

LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Top combinații — sistem 3/3 · mod nonrandom