LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Source: datasn · 16,751 draws (max inner_id=16754) · Last: 2026-04-30 23:00:00 · Reference: 16754 (procesate) · 🎯 Live Prospective Validation →

⚠️ Niciun model nu bate statistic random pe acest dataset

Walk-forward validation pe 1000 extrageri + paired bootstrap (n=2000) confirmă că nicio strategie (HOT, DOW Aware, Anti-Corr, Smart, Mean Rev) NU are advantaj robust peste hazard — toate p-values > 0.14, CI 95% conține zero. Diferențele observate (+0.1 — +0.3 pp) sunt în limita de fluctuație random.

Ce înseamnă pentru tine: Folosește acest sistem ca instrument descriptiv (vezi cele mai frecvente, overdue, bursty, pattern-uri DOW), NU ca instrument de predicție garantată. Loto polonez Multi este matematic indistingabil de un proces aleator când evaluăm capacitatea de a prezice top-30 combinații.

Ce e adevărat: Anti-corelațiile la nivel de pereche (ex: {1,9} cu chi²=30) există ca fenomen statistic, dar nu se traduc în advantaj predictiv exploatabil la nivel de selecție top-N.

🧪 Detalii rezultate riguros statistice (walk-forward + paired bootstrap) (click pentru tabel complet)

Test SYSTEM 2 (perechi) — walk-forward pe 1000 extrageri, baseline random=5.92%:

Strategie	Δ vs rand	CI 95% (pp)	p-boot	Robust?
dow_aware	+0.31 pp	[-0.12, +0.72]	0.144	✗ nu robust
hot	+0.25 pp	[-0.13, +0.62]	0.239	✗ nu robust
smart	+0.16 pp	[-0.19, +0.53]	0.376	✗ nu robust
anti_corr	+0.11 pp	[-0.31, +0.55]	0.581	✗ nu robust

Interpretare statistică: Pentru ✓ ROBUST trebuie: CI 95% inferior > 0 ȘI p_bootstrap < 0.05. Niciun rezultat nu trece.

De ce a părut anterior că HOT bate random cu +0.95 pp? Multiple testing bias (am testat 8+ strategii — era inevitabil ca una să "câștige" prin hazard) + single split bias (un seed nefavorabil pentru random) + selection bias (am ales strategiile post-hoc). Walk-forward + paired bootstrap eliminat aceste bias-uri.

📊 Backtest inițial (cu bias-uri) — pentru transparență (click)

⚠️ Aceste rezultate au fost contaminat de bias-uri statistice — paired walk-forward de mai sus arată că nu se reproduc. Păstrate pentru transparență istorică.

Strategie	Sys 1	Sys 2	Sys 3	Câștigător la
🏆 HOT	+0.21 pp	+0.95 pp	-0.15 pp	Sys 2
🧠 Smart (pure confidence)	+0.57 pp	+0.76 pp	-0.01 pp	Sys 1
⚖️ Mean Reversion	-0.07 pp	+0.72 pp	+0.11 pp	Sys 3
📍 Recent Active	+0.56 pp	+0.31 pp	-0.17 pp	top 2 Sys 1
⭐ FEATURES NOI (doar sys 1):
🔗 Anti-Corr (corelații chi²)	+0.47 pp	+0.76 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
🗓️ DOW Aware (zi × ora)	+0.41 pp	+0.83 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
Random baseline	24.73%	5.45%	1.45%
🚫 Predict (vechi)	+0.01 pp	+0.23 pp	-0.13 pp	— nu folosi
Anti-predict	+0.07 pp	-0.07 pp	-0.49 pp	— sub random

📌 Recomandare per sistem: Sys 1 → 🧠 Smart | Sys 2 → 🏆 HOT | Sys 3 → ⚖️ Mean Rev (modurile se selectează automat când schimbi sistemul)

⚠️ Disclaimer onest: Improvement-urile sunt mici în absolut (sub 1 pp). Nu garantează câștig — ridică doar probabilitatea cu ~17% relativ peste hazard pe sys 2. Loto rămâne fundamental aleator. Sistemul ajută la informare, nu la siguranță.

SYS 1/1

16,754

80 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 2/2

16,754

3,160 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 3/3

16,754

82,173 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 4/4

16,754

1,470,317 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 5/5

6,000

24,305,079 combos · 35.8% of 16,754

Sistem: 1/1 2/2 3/3 4/4 5/5 ⓘ Mod auto-selectat: 🏆 HOT

Top combinații — sistem 3/3 · mod hot

Min hits filter: 3 · afișate: 30

💡 Combinațiile cu cele mai multe apariții totale.

#	Combinație	Hits	Mean±std	CV	P95	Gap	Overdue σ	chi² p	BT acc	Conf	Type	Pred
1	{28, 37, 74}	298	56.3±58	1.03	168.2	19	-0.6	0.816	17%	37	random	[16755..16849]
2	{20, 62, 77}	297	56±59.3	1.06	179	142	1.5	0.027	23%	46	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
3	{20, 62, 66}	297	56.2±57.4	1.02	170.8	59	0	0.533	31%	41	random	[16755..16809]
4	{37, 57, 68}	294	56.6±54.7	0.97	169.4	89	0.6	0.807	35%	41	random	[16755..16776]
5	{15, 16, 74}	293	57.1±60.7	1.06	176.6	62	0.1	0.805	22%	38	random	[16755..16810]
6	{13, 20, 60}	293	57.1±50.9	0.89	154	38	-0.4	0.522	27%	42	random	[16755..16824]
7	{4, 19, 48}	293	56.4±61.7	1.09	185.1	292	3.8	0.605	14%	36	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
8	{13, 40, 72}	292	57.5±55.6	0.97	179.5	18	-0.7	0.783	27%	40	random	[16755..16849]
9	{13, 60, 78}	291	57.6±58.3	1.01	188.7	16	-0.7	0.945	36%	40	random	[16755..16854]
10	{35, 42, 53}	291	56.3±62.2	1.11	177.1	35	-0.3	0.575	29%	40	random	[16755..16838]
11	{13, 23, 63}	290	57.9±57.4	0.99	185.2	16	-0.7	0.09	27%	45	random	[16755..16853]
12	{13, 23, 37}	290	57.8±57	0.99	182.2	38	-0.3	0.529	29%	41	random	[16755..16831]
13	{46, 67, 76}	289	57.8±57.8	1	160.7	53	-0.1	0.276	28%	42	random	[16755..16817]
14	{20, 37, 76}	289	58±56.6	0.98	166.6	41	-0.3	0.535	37%	43	random	[16755..16828]
15	{20, 37, 74}	289	57.9±58.5	1.01	173.6	52	-0.1	0.117	16%	42	random	[16755..16818]
16	{14, 29, 57}	289	57.9±57.5	0.99	192	15	-0.7	0.395	5%	37	random	[16755..16854]
17	{5, 22, 56}	289	57.8±57.9	1	168.3	98	0.7	0.938	22%	38	random	[16755..16772]
18	{16, 34, 48}	289	57.8±63.4	1.1	176.6	114	0.9	0.334	11%	37	random	[16755..16761]
19	{21, 68, 78}	288	57.8±54.9	0.95	165	154	1.8	0.218	19%	42	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
20	{20, 28, 76}	288	57.9±55.9	0.97	180.8	24	-0.6	0.407	31%	42	random	[16755..16844]
21	{27, 40, 70}	288	58.1±62.5	1.08	175.4	44	-0.2	0.586	10%	36	random	[16755..16831]
22	{33, 36, 64}	288	58.2±52.6	0.9	161.4	51	-0.1	0.305	27%	43	random	[16755..16814]
23	{10, 25, 60}	288	58.3±60.1	1.03	173.4	8	-0.8	0.058	29%	46	random	[16755..16864]
24	{13, 22, 23}	288	58.1±60.6	1.04	201.7	54	-0.1	0.157	26%	43	random	[16755..16819]
25	{4, 47, 78}	287	58.2±58	1	179.5	34	-0.4	0.657	24%	39	random	[16755..16836]
26	{4, 19, 76}	287	58.3±64.4	1.1	180.5	53	-0.1	0.219	21%	40	random	[16755..16824]
27	{20, 47, 74}	287	58±59.2	1.02	188.3	118	1	0.43	15%	38	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
28	{13, 36, 72}	287	58.4±59.8	1.02	174.5	26	-0.5	0.777	37%	41	random	[16755..16846]
29	{20, 37, 70}	287	58.5±60	1.03	179.5	31	-0.5	0.163	4%	38	random	[16755..16841]
30	{13, 60, 67}	287	58.1±51	0.88	155.8	94	0.7	0.144	37%	47	random	[16755..16769]

Combinație

Hits

Mean±std

P95

Gap

Overdue σ

chi² p

BT acc

Conf

Type

Pred

{28, 37, 74}

298

56.3±58

1.03

168.2

-0.6

0.816

17%

random

[16755..16849]

{20, 62, 77}

297

56±59.3

1.06

179

142

1.5

0.027

23%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{20, 62, 66}

297

56.2±57.4

1.02

170.8

0.533

31%

random

[16755..16809]

{37, 57, 68}

294

56.6±54.7

0.97

169.4

0.6

0.807

35%

random

[16755..16776]

{15, 16, 74}

293

57.1±60.7

1.06

176.6

0.1

0.805

22%

random

[16755..16810]

{13, 20, 60}

293

57.1±50.9

0.89

154

-0.4

0.522

27%

random

[16755..16824]

{4, 19, 48}

293

56.4±61.7

1.09

185.1

292

3.8

0.605

14%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{13, 40, 72}

292

57.5±55.6

0.97

179.5

-0.7

0.783

27%

random

[16755..16849]

{13, 60, 78}

291

57.6±58.3

1.01

188.7

-0.7

0.945

36%

random

[16755..16854]

{35, 42, 53}

291

56.3±62.2

1.11

177.1

-0.3

0.575

29%

random

[16755..16838]

{13, 23, 63}

290

57.9±57.4

0.99

185.2

-0.7

0.09

27%

random

[16755..16853]

{13, 23, 37}

290

57.8±57

0.99

182.2

-0.3

0.529

29%

random

[16755..16831]

{46, 67, 76}

289

57.8±57.8

160.7

-0.1

0.276

28%

random

[16755..16817]

{20, 37, 76}

289

58±56.6

0.98

166.6

-0.3

0.535

37%

random

[16755..16828]

{20, 37, 74}

289

57.9±58.5

1.01

173.6

-0.1

0.117

16%

random

[16755..16818]

{14, 29, 57}

289

57.9±57.5

0.99

192

-0.7

0.395

random

[16755..16854]

{5, 22, 56}

289

57.8±57.9

168.3

0.7

0.938

22%

random

[16755..16772]

{16, 34, 48}

289

57.8±63.4

1.1

176.6

114

0.9

0.334

11%

random

[16755..16761]

{21, 68, 78}

288

57.8±54.9

0.95

165

154

1.8

0.218

19%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{20, 28, 76}

288

57.9±55.9

0.97

180.8

-0.6

0.407

31%

random

[16755..16844]

{27, 40, 70}

288

58.1±62.5

1.08

175.4

-0.2

0.586

10%

random

[16755..16831]

{33, 36, 64}

288

58.2±52.6

0.9

161.4

-0.1

0.305

27%

random

[16755..16814]

{10, 25, 60}

288

58.3±60.1

1.03

173.4

-0.8

0.058

29%

random

[16755..16864]

{13, 22, 23}

288

58.1±60.6

1.04

201.7

-0.1

0.157

26%

random

[16755..16819]

{4, 47, 78}

287

58.2±58

179.5

-0.4

0.657

24%

random

[16755..16836]

{4, 19, 76}

287

58.3±64.4

1.1

180.5

-0.1

0.219

21%

random

[16755..16824]

{20, 47, 74}

287

58±59.2

1.02

188.3

118

0.43

15%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{13, 36, 72}

287

58.4±59.8

1.02

174.5

-0.5

0.777

37%

random

[16755..16846]

{20, 37, 70}

287

58.5±60

1.03

179.5

-0.5

0.163

random

[16755..16841]

{13, 60, 67}

287

58.1±51

0.88

155.8

0.7

0.144

37%

random

[16755..16769]

Click pe combinație pentru detalii complete: percentile, streaks, chi², backtest, predicție și timeline grafic.
Reference draw_id pentru calculul current_gap: 16754.

LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Top combinații — sistem 3/3 · mod hot