LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Source: datasn · 16,751 draws (max inner_id=16754) · Last: 2026-04-30 23:00:00 · Reference: 16754 (procesate) · 🎯 Live Prospective Validation →

⚠️ Niciun model nu bate statistic random pe acest dataset

Walk-forward validation pe 1000 extrageri + paired bootstrap (n=2000) confirmă că nicio strategie (HOT, DOW Aware, Anti-Corr, Smart, Mean Rev) NU are advantaj robust peste hazard — toate p-values > 0.14, CI 95% conține zero. Diferențele observate (+0.1 — +0.3 pp) sunt în limita de fluctuație random.

Ce înseamnă pentru tine: Folosește acest sistem ca instrument descriptiv (vezi cele mai frecvente, overdue, bursty, pattern-uri DOW), NU ca instrument de predicție garantată. Loto polonez Multi este matematic indistingabil de un proces aleator când evaluăm capacitatea de a prezice top-30 combinații.

Ce e adevărat: Anti-corelațiile la nivel de pereche (ex: {1,9} cu chi²=30) există ca fenomen statistic, dar nu se traduc în advantaj predictiv exploatabil la nivel de selecție top-N.

🧪 Detalii rezultate riguros statistice (walk-forward + paired bootstrap) (click pentru tabel complet)

Test SYSTEM 2 (perechi) — walk-forward pe 1000 extrageri, baseline random=5.92%:

Strategie	Δ vs rand	CI 95% (pp)	p-boot	Robust?
dow_aware	+0.31 pp	[-0.12, +0.72]	0.144	✗ nu robust
hot	+0.25 pp	[-0.13, +0.62]	0.239	✗ nu robust
smart	+0.16 pp	[-0.19, +0.53]	0.376	✗ nu robust
anti_corr	+0.11 pp	[-0.31, +0.55]	0.581	✗ nu robust

Interpretare statistică: Pentru ✓ ROBUST trebuie: CI 95% inferior > 0 ȘI p_bootstrap < 0.05. Niciun rezultat nu trece.

De ce a părut anterior că HOT bate random cu +0.95 pp? Multiple testing bias (am testat 8+ strategii — era inevitabil ca una să "câștige" prin hazard) + single split bias (un seed nefavorabil pentru random) + selection bias (am ales strategiile post-hoc). Walk-forward + paired bootstrap eliminat aceste bias-uri.

📊 Backtest inițial (cu bias-uri) — pentru transparență (click)

⚠️ Aceste rezultate au fost contaminat de bias-uri statistice — paired walk-forward de mai sus arată că nu se reproduc. Păstrate pentru transparență istorică.

Strategie	Sys 1	Sys 2	Sys 3	Câștigător la
🏆 HOT	+0.21 pp	+0.95 pp	-0.15 pp	Sys 2
🧠 Smart (pure confidence)	+0.57 pp	+0.76 pp	-0.01 pp	Sys 1
⚖️ Mean Reversion	-0.07 pp	+0.72 pp	+0.11 pp	Sys 3
📍 Recent Active	+0.56 pp	+0.31 pp	-0.17 pp	top 2 Sys 1
⭐ FEATURES NOI (doar sys 1):
🔗 Anti-Corr (corelații chi²)	+0.47 pp	+0.76 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
🗓️ DOW Aware (zi × ora)	+0.41 pp	+0.83 pp	N/A	sys 1+2 (nou)
Random baseline	24.73%	5.45%	1.45%
🚫 Predict (vechi)	+0.01 pp	+0.23 pp	-0.13 pp	— nu folosi
Anti-predict	+0.07 pp	-0.07 pp	-0.49 pp	— sub random

📌 Recomandare per sistem: Sys 1 → 🧠 Smart | Sys 2 → 🏆 HOT | Sys 3 → ⚖️ Mean Rev (modurile se selectează automat când schimbi sistemul)

⚠️ Disclaimer onest: Improvement-urile sunt mici în absolut (sub 1 pp). Nu garantează câștig — ridică doar probabilitatea cu ~17% relativ peste hazard pe sys 2. Loto rămâne fundamental aleator. Sistemul ajută la informare, nu la siguranță.

SYS 1/1

16,754

80 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 2/2

16,754

3,160 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 3/3

16,754

82,173 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 4/4

16,754

1,470,317 combos · 100% of 16,754

SYS 5/5

6,000

24,305,079 combos · 35.8% of 16,754

Sistem: 1/1 2/2 3/3 4/4 5/5 ⓘ Mod auto-selectat: bursty

Top combinații — sistem 3/3 · mod bursty

Min hits filter: 3 · afișate: 30

💡 Sortate după CV descrescător — combinațiile cu gap-uri foarte variabile (rafale + pauze lungi).

#	Combinație	Hits	Mean±std	CV	P95	Gap	Overdue σ	chi² p	BT acc	Conf	Type	Pred
1	{3, 26, 59}	241	68.1±94	1.38	216	146	0.8	0.025	32%	44	random	[16755..16770]
2	{1, 19, 37}	233	71.4±98.3	1.38	253.4	66	-0.1	0.004	11%	44	random	[16755..16858]
3	{40, 65, 79}	225	73.6±100.1	1.36	238.1	256	1.8	0.513	14%	34	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
4	{36, 52, 60}	219	76.3±101.6	1.33	242.2	25	-0.5	0.13	15%	38	random	[16755..16907]
5	{6, 22, 49}	236	70.8±94.1	1.33	212.5	9	-0.7	0.258	28%	39	random	[16755..16910]
6	{11, 63, 66}	239	70±92.9	1.33	217.4	95	0.3	0.347	26%	37	random	[16755..16822]
7	{18, 28, 48}	220	74.2±98	1.32	212.3	236	1.7	0.665	10%	32	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
8	{14, 21, 25}	227	74.1±97.5	1.32	247.8	8	-0.7	0.07	17%	40	random	[16755..16918]
9	{3, 17, 66}	232	72.3±95.1	1.32	220	29	-0.5	0.16	33%	41	random	[16755..16892]
10	{6, 23, 41}	236	71.2±93.3	1.31	204.8	16	-0.6	0.316	24%	37	random	[16755..16902]
11	{4, 27, 34}	244	68.9±89.8	1.3	193.8	22	-0.5	0.203	20%	38	random	[16755..16891]
12	{45, 54, 60}	232	71.9±93.7	1.3	191	94	0.2	0.583	0%	31	random	[16755..16826]
13	{10, 57, 71}	234	71.3±92.7	1.3	227.8	17	-0.6	0.162	10%	36	random	[16755..16901]
14	{16, 36, 37}	242	69.1±89.5	1.29	212	41	-0.3	0.041	2%	38	random	[16755..16872]
15	{22, 24, 33}	248	67.5±87	1.29	244.2	68	0	0.014	31%	46	random	[16755..16841]
16	{26, 52, 80}	226	73.2±94.3	1.29	203.6	23	-0.5	0.504	43%	40	random	[16755..16898]
17	{4, 5, 79}	217	76.8±98.6	1.29	242.5	135	0.6	0.502	14%	35	random	[16755..16794]
18	{30, 47, 58}	221	75.5±96.7	1.28	271	123	0.5	0.227	9%	35	random	[16755..16803]
19	{10, 18, 51}	206	80.7±103.2	1.28	245.6	18	-0.6	0.574	13%	34	random	[16755..16920]
20	{37, 76, 78}	247	67.1±85.4	1.27	243.8	149	1	0.217	28%	39	random	[16755..16757]
21	{1, 44, 53}	216	77.3±98.3	1.27	234.5	74	-0	0.215	3%	35	random	[16755..16856]
22	{44, 54, 66}	228	73.2±92.9	1.27	192.1	46	-0.3	0.302	26%	38	random	[16755..16874]
23	{30, 56, 73}	185	90.4±114.7	1.27	253.2	100	0.1	0.121	21%	40	random	[16755..16859]
24	{25, 32, 41}	232	71.3±90.2	1.26	242.5	258	2.1	0.586	3%	32	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
25	{13, 49, 75}	222	75.7±95.8	1.26	226	9	-0.7	0.665	38%	39	random	[16755..16916]
26	{12, 23, 57}	239	69.9±88.3	1.26	198.3	29	-0.5	0.683	31%	37	random	[16755..16883]
27	{5, 63, 69}	254	65.7±82.9	1.26	187	76	0.1	0.061	35%	44	random	[16755..16827]
28	{19, 33, 71}	223	74.9±94.4	1.26	217	132	0.6	0.74	4%	32	random	[16755..16791]
29	{47, 58, 63}	232	71.7±90.4	1.26	244	176	1.2	0.165	16%	38	random	⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755
30	{38, 40, 80}	208	80±100.9	1.26	263.1	58	-0.2	0.247	28%	40	random	[16755..16877]

Combinație

Hits

Mean±std

P95

Gap

Overdue σ

chi² p

BT acc

Conf

Type

Pred

{3, 26, 59}

241

68.1±94

1.38

216

146

0.8

0.025

32%

random

[16755..16770]

{1, 19, 37}

233

71.4±98.3

1.38

253.4

-0.1

0.004

11%

random

[16755..16858]

{40, 65, 79}

225

73.6±100.1

1.36

238.1

256

1.8

0.513

14%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{36, 52, 60}

219

76.3±101.6

1.33

242.2

-0.5

0.13

15%

random

[16755..16907]

{6, 22, 49}

236

70.8±94.1

1.33

212.5

-0.7

0.258

28%

random

[16755..16910]

{11, 63, 66}

239

70±92.9

1.33

217.4

0.3

0.347

26%

random

[16755..16822]

{18, 28, 48}

220

74.2±98

1.32

212.3

236

1.7

0.665

10%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{14, 21, 25}

227

74.1±97.5

1.32

247.8

-0.7

0.07

17%

random

[16755..16918]

{3, 17, 66}

232

72.3±95.1

1.32

220

-0.5

0.16

33%

random

[16755..16892]

{6, 23, 41}

236

71.2±93.3

1.31

204.8

-0.6

0.316

24%

random

[16755..16902]

{4, 27, 34}

244

68.9±89.8

1.3

193.8

-0.5

0.203

20%

random

[16755..16891]

{45, 54, 60}

232

71.9±93.7

1.3

191

0.2

0.583

random

[16755..16826]

{10, 57, 71}

234

71.3±92.7

1.3

227.8

-0.6

0.162

10%

random

[16755..16901]

{16, 36, 37}

242

69.1±89.5

1.29

212

-0.3

0.041

random

[16755..16872]

{22, 24, 33}

248

67.5±87

1.29

244.2

0.014

31%

random

[16755..16841]

{26, 52, 80}

226

73.2±94.3

1.29

203.6

-0.5

0.504

43%

random

[16755..16898]

{4, 5, 79}

217

76.8±98.6

1.29

242.5

135

0.6

0.502

14%

random

[16755..16794]

{30, 47, 58}

221

75.5±96.7

1.28

271

123

0.5

0.227

random

[16755..16803]

{10, 18, 51}

206

80.7±103.2

1.28

245.6

-0.6

0.574

13%

random

[16755..16920]

{37, 76, 78}

247

67.1±85.4

1.27

243.8

149

0.217

28%

random

[16755..16757]

{1, 44, 53}

216

77.3±98.3

1.27

234.5

-0

0.215

random

[16755..16856]

{44, 54, 66}

228

73.2±92.9

1.27

192.1

-0.3

0.302

26%

random

[16755..16874]

{30, 56, 73}

185

90.4±114.7

1.27

253.2

100

0.1

0.121

21%

random

[16755..16859]

{25, 32, 41}

232

71.3±90.2

1.26

242.5

258

2.1

0.586

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{13, 49, 75}

222

75.7±95.8

1.26

226

-0.7

0.665

38%

random

[16755..16916]

{12, 23, 57}

239

69.9±88.3

1.26

198.3

-0.5

0.683

31%

random

[16755..16883]

{5, 63, 69}

254

65.7±82.9

1.26

187

0.1

0.061

35%

random

[16755..16827]

{19, 33, 71}

223

74.9±94.4

1.26

217

132

0.6

0.74

random

[16755..16791]

{47, 58, 63}

232

71.7±90.4

1.26

244

176

1.2

0.165

16%

random

⚠️ OVERDUE → next: 16755

{38, 40, 80}

208

80±100.9

1.26

263.1

-0.2

0.247

28%

random

[16755..16877]

Click pe combinație pentru detalii complete: percentile, streaks, chi², backtest, predicție și timeline grafic.
Reference draw_id pentru calculul current_gap: 16754.

LotoPolo Stats — Pattern Analysis

Top combinații — sistem 3/3 · mod bursty